Roger Federer is underrated entering Wimbledon this year. Wait,..WHAT?!
As we approach the start of the sports top event, it’s always interesting to try to predict who will take the title this year at the All-England Club. For the first time in what seems like forever, Mr. Federer is losing his luster as the top guy on the grass.
First, here’s some recent history on the men’s side. Since 2003, every title has been taken by one of 4 men:
- Roger Federer: 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2012
- Rafael Nadal: 2008, 2010
- Andy Murray: 2013
- Novak Djokovic: 2011, 2014
Three of the big four are still holding strong – Djokovic, Federer, Murray round out the top 3 ranking spots, with Nadal slipping all the way to 10th.
Let’s take a closer look at each:
- Novak: As seems to be the pattern recently, you’d have to be a little crazy to bet against Novak. He’s comfortably in the top spot, and, without Stan Wawrinka catching fire at the French, he would hold both major titles this year.
- Rafa: He has no chance. The grass-court is awful for his game style, on top of him going through one of the worst droughts of his career. A first-week exit wouldn’t be all-that surprising.
- Andy: Murray looks amazing on paper – his game is excellent on the grass – he brings a mixture of creativity, consistency, and fluid movement that will dominate nearly everybody in the draw. However, he’s on a long losing streak to Novak, who seems to be thoroughly in his head.
- Roger: As Roger’s age climbs and because he hasn’t won a major since 2012, a lot of experts and tennis fans are wondering if he will ever win again. However, he is still ranked #2 in the world, and has taken 4 titles already this year (Cincinnati, Shanghai, Dubai and Halle).
So, is this the year for someone outside of the top four to claim the crown? No. It would require a Wawrinka-like hot-streak, and I don’t see that happening twice in a row.
My money, and my heart, are behind the Maestro. Look for Roger to log his 18th Major and 8th Wimbledon title, while once again securing his spot atop the sport.